The Congress will hold a high-profile meeting on Tuesday where it is likely to give green signal to the formation of a separate Telangana state. With feeling amongst the people of the region running high, both for and against granting of statehood, will the Congress gain out of this with less than a year to go for the national elections? Political analyst and independent member of Andhra Pradesh Legislative Council K Nageshwar joined IBNLive readers for an interaction on the Telangana tangle.
Q. Why Telugu media is showing only one side drama, please provide your comment on this. Asked by: Venkat Reddy
A. It is wrong to argue that media as a whole is biased. Of course, there are inherent biases in media given the proximity with politics. But, these biases are not blatant always.
Q. How big a factor is the need for political mileage in creating this new state? How do you think a common man would benefit by this separation? Asked by: Karthik
A. The issue of separate state or the choice of keeping the state united can not be held hostage to party's parochial interests. NO one can say with absolute certainty that a particular party will be benefited with either of the decisions. The experience of Jharkhand is worth notable here. The JMM which headed the movement for separate state could not emerge as the formidable force. The same is the case with the BJP which formed the state. The polity in Jharkhand is as fractured as in any other state.
Q. Sir, I think It is necessary and inevitable to grant statehood to Telangana which is a decades-long wish of Telanganites which I am sure you agree. But, Isn't Congress trying to create another problem in pursuit of finding solution (for their own political interests) by proposing Royala Telangana when no one is asking for it. Asked by: Manoj Baddapuri
A. The Royal Telangana was not demanded by any major political party except the Majlis. Infact, even the MIM wanted the state to be united and the so called Royal Telangana was its next choice. The proposal for Rayala Telangana will further complicate problem. The political leadership of the two Rayalaseema district will be marginalised in power politics. The proposal has no logic, no rationality. No one can convincingly explain the rationale for it. But, the Congress has its own petty calculations.
Q. Sir, what will be the prospects of Krishna water sharing, I can lot of trouble in the near future? Asked by: anush
A. The sharing of river waters can not be the prerogative of any particular state. They are decided by duly constitute tribunals. Of course, there will be disputes between different states. Such disputes may arise if the state is bifurcated. But, assuming that this will happen, they are not beyond resolution. Remember India share river waters with China, Bangladesh and even Pakistan, Nepal.
Q. Will MIM emerge as a stronger player in Rayala Telangana as it is working hard outside Hyderabad? Asked by: syed naser
A. The political future of a party like MIM can not be determined by the issue of Telangana. Even the state is united or divided, the MIM will try to polarise the voters on religious bass and expand its influence outside Hyderabad. The MJP and MIM will breed on each others strength.
Q. Is it because of Digvijay Singh that Telangana formation is getting expedited? Asked by: sundar1950in
A. I don't think individual leaders in Congress has such a disproportionate influence on such a crucial political issue.
Q. Can Jagan's YSRC be a formidable force in Telangana? Asked by: syed naser
A. The YSR CP has its own support base in Telangana region also. Let us not forget the fact that people of Telangana gave Congress party led by YSR in 2009 elections knowing fully well that he is totally against separate state demand. But, the YSRCP faces a serious challenge as Jagan is perceived to be against Telangana. The recent resignations have further reinforced this. The party cannot have a break through as long as the separate state issue dominate the political discourse.
Q. Sir, will it not lead to create new states like Gorkhaland, Purvanchal, Bundelkhand etc? Asked by: Narendra
A. Different demands have different origins, history and factors that sustain them. One can not give such mathematical equation. The formation of three states, Jharkhand etc, could see the demand for Telangana flare up whether or not both have a relationship. The other demands did not intensify similarly after the formation of three states.
Q. In your opinion how will the creation of Telangana affect minorities/ dalits in both new smaller states? Asked by: MI Sidd
A. The status of socially deprived or marginalised sections depend on social policies. The mere geographical size of a political unit cannot guarantee social emancipation.
Q. Will BJP emerge as major political force in Telangana region if state is bifurcated citing TRS merging with congress? Asked by: amroz
A. The politics can not be arithmetic. The Politics are often act like chemistry.
Q. Is there any truth or a speck of reality in the assumptions of some people regarding rise in Naxalism upon formation of separate Telangana state? It bothers me when people say that Telangana will become a Chattisgarh or Jharkhand, will it be such a big problem? Asked by: Karthik
A. The activities of Maoists intensified in West Bengal though the state was not bifurcated. The Naxalite activities intensified in Chhattisgarh and Jharkhand but Uttarakhand has not seen any such thing. There is also no barometer to measure whether Naxalism got stronger or weaker after bifurcation of MP and Bihar. Can we say the Maoists will become weaker if AP and Jharkhand are merged into one state.
Q. How much time will it take for formation of Telangana state or otherwise (i.e. to remain united AP)? How far this decision will affect the election results? Asked by: Rao
A. Electoral fortunes are determined by host of factors. The TRS did well in local bodies polls before 2004. The party's performance was not so great when compared to Congress in 2004. But, the party emerged as single largest party in terms of vote share that too contesting alone in 2008 after the TRS MLAs resignation. But, the TRS had a poor show in 2009. Later, the party swept the polls.
Q. Sir, what happens to Hyderabad. Will it be a dual capital for both states? Asked by: shreenivas
A. Only Sonia Gandhi can answer.
Q. I still feel Congress is posturing on Telengana and finally not give..is there a chance of that? Asked by: Somnath
A. The history of Congress gives scope for such a possibility always. But, this time the posturing is little more decisive in character.
Q. Catch 24? which side falling will cause more damage to UPA? Asked by: sundar1950in
A. This can not be a criteria for deciding the fate of a state. No one can give any such guarantee.
Q. Hello Sir, do you think the formation of Telangana will really cause an uprising and violent people movement in Andhra and Rayalaseema regions. Asked by: Rajesh
A. There is strong feeling in coastal and Rayala seema regions for United state. But, I do not think it will take a violent expression unless someone successfully ignites it.
Q. Dear Sir, Will the formulation of Rayala-Telangana with Hyd as UT help BJP gain seats in the new state keeping in mind the Mahbubnagar victory? Asked by: Apoorva Krishna Srivastava
A. The Mahaboobnagar victory is an aberration rather than a trend. This is proved in Parkal later. But, the BJP will have a better prospects in separate state whether Telangana or Rayal compared to united AP. This is because the demography of such a state offers greater possibility for polarisation.
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