New Delhi: Congress could just make it past the finish line in Madhya Pradesh, various exit polls have suggested.
Four out of five exit polls, whose results have just been declared, have shown Congress leading in MP.
In some of them the Congress just crosses the halfway mark of 116 seats in the 230 seat assembly.
India Today–Axis poll has given between 102-120 seats to the BJP, and between 104-122 seats to the Congress. Times Now – CNX has given 111 seats to the BJP and 109 seats to the Congress, NewsX-Neta survey has given 106 to the BJP and 112 to the Congress. Republic – C Voter has given 90-106 to the BJP and 110-126 to the Congress. CSDS has given 126 to the Congress and 94 to the BJP.
If the predictions prove right, one could see between 6-8% vote share shift from the BJP to the Congress. While three terms of cumulative anti-incumbency will be a huge factor, the large-scale agrarian distress could be one of the most telling feature of these elections.
Anger against inflated gas cylinder and diesel prices, anger against demonetisation and GST, against mounting crop losses, could spell trouble for the BJP in the state where 73% of the seats are in rural areas.
The fact that rural areas, where the Congress’ presence is said to be stronger than the BJP’s, have seen a remarkably high voter turn-out.
A large section of government workers, who have been working on ad-hoc basis, could be the reason for BJP downfall from the mammoth 165 seats.
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