WASHINGTON: House Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s concern about President Donald Trump potentially ordering the launch of a nuclear weapon in his final days in office highlights a little-known fact: Launch authority rests with the president alone.
It also resurfaces a question with no certain answer: What would happen if a military commander determined, based on legal judgment, that a president’s nuclear launch order was illegal? The commander might refuse such an order, but then what?
Trump has given no indication he is considering using nuclear weapons, but Pelosi expressed worry that an unhinged president might start a war. She said she spoke Friday to Gen. Mark Milley, chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, about available precautions to prevent Trump from initiating military action or ordering a nuclear launch, and she told colleagues she was given unspecified assurances that there are longstanding safeguards in place.
A spokesman for Milley, Col. Dave Butler, confirmed that Pelosi called Milley. He answered her questions regarding the process of nuclear command authority, Butler said, declining to reveal details.
Pelosi’s concerns highlight the fact, dating to the dawn of the nuclear age in the 1940s, that the president has the sole authority to order a U.S. nuclear attack. None since Harry Truman has done so. The president is not required to gain the consent of anyone else not within his administration, not in the military, not in the Congress. There are, however, some safeguards that could come into play.
Although it would be unprecedented, a military officer could refuse to obey a president’s order to launch a nuclear weapon if a legal assessment concluded that it constituted an illegal act under the internationally recognized laws of armed conflict. This is a murky area, given that the circumstance has never arisen.
If the military gets an illegitimate order from the president of the United States, the military can and should refuse that order in a situation where it is widely seen that the president is unfit and incapable of making a rational decision, said Tom Z. Collina, co-author with former Defense Secretary William J. Perry of a book, The Button, about nuclear dangers and presidential command authority.
Under existing procedures, a president who was considering the need to use nuclear weapons would be expected to consult with advisers, most likely to include the secretary of defense, the chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, and the commander of U.S. Strategic Command, which has operational control over the nuclear arsenal. Various assessments would be made, including the legal aspects of strike options.
The current arrangement in which sole authority to order a nuclear launch rests with the president is not written in law. It was created by Truman as a means to keep decisions about use of the world’s most dangerous weapons in civilian rather than military hands. The authority is considered inherent in a president’s constitutional role as commander in chief.
During the Cold War, the prospect of nuclear war meant having to respond within minutes to a wave of Soviet missiles zeroing in on the United States. Time would be of the essence. Thus is seemed to make sense to leave the decision to one person, without the need for time-consuming consultations with Congress.
But times have changed. Some argue that the traditional sole-authority” approach must change, too.
Once in office, a president gains the absolute authority to start a nuclear war, Collina and Perry wrote in a Politico opinion article published Friday. Within minutes, Trump can unleash hundreds of atomic bombs, or just one. He does not need a second opinion.
Collina, Perry and others have been pushing for Congress to alter the nuclear command authority so that it is shared between the president and the Congress.
The issue has been raised repeatedly during Trump’s presidency. In November 2017 the Senate Foreign Relations Committee held a public hearing on the subject the first hearing of its kind in several decades.
Testifying at that hearing, a former commander of U.S. nuclear forces, retired Air Force Gen. Robert Kehler, was asked what would happen if a president ordered a nuclear strike, for whatever reason, and the four-star general at Strategic Command balked or refused, believing it to be illegal.
Youd be in a very interesting constitutional situation,” Kehler replied.
Also in November 2017, the Air Force general who was commanding Strategic Command at the time raised the possibility of having to refuse an illegal launch order. That officer, Gen. John Hyten, who is now the vice chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, stressed that in any circumstance the military is obliged to only follow legal orders.
I provide advice to the president, Hyten said. Hell tell me what to do, and if its illegal, guess whats going to happen? Im gonna say, Mr. President, thats illegal. Guess what hes going to do? Hes going to say, What would be legal? And well come up with options of a mix of capabilities to respond to whatever the situation is, and thats the way it works. Its not that complicated.
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